Re: Combat Aircraft of the Indian Air Force Quote:
Originally Posted by PGA The point I was trying to make was that art of war fighting as known to us for last century or so is changing not subtly but radically.... Advanced nations have moved their soldiers considerably back from the harm's way.... With coming of technologies visible to us today, a lot of guys are going to be fighting wars tapping keyboards, pressing buttons or manoeuvring over joysticks, and then coming back in the evenings to play with their kids. Few guys would still have to go out wearing bionic suits with drone covering the back or UCAVs as wingmen. Anyways countermeasures for the new age tech require autonomous response if the attacker too starts to seek autonomous target acquisition, we have got war of machines.... Nukes too seem redundant in this scenario coz new tech can accomplish the job in more efficient way and much less collateral to all aspects. |
PGA as you often have you raise some very pertinent points especially in the context of air warfare and air-to-ground delivery of munition payloads. I'll attempt some intellectual high jump here and might fall short. Long post follows. :-)
The principles of war as described by Sun Tzsu or Bismarck or the British Army's 10-points have not changed and will not change till humans are willing to kill each other en masse to gain territory, power, economic resources, dominance etc.
What has changed are two things. First till 1945 war meant winning a territory, occupying it and subjugating the civilian population. It meant one organized identifiable military-industrial complex wearing distinguishable uniforms fighting another. After 1945 many wars - Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan I and II, Bosnia, Yemen have become political wars where the population itself is both the one you wish to befriend and win over and simultaneously is the enemy at night. At the risk of earning the ire of some members our erstwhile quasi civil war in Mizoram and Manipur and current unrest in Kashmir are in that category. The individual soldier {or terrorist or freedom fighter} has weapons enhanced by technology that enable him to remain dispersed and hidden and yet strike, significantly, at the visible organized military that he considers his foe at a time and place of his choosing. Also known as guerilla warfare.
But what we saw in Afghanistan over the last 20 years and Vietnam was guerilla warfare on a mass scale in every village and road. Wars in the future will more and more be like this rather than a clash of titans across long borders. Traditional armies are neither organized nor trained to deal with this as the Americans, the Soviets, the British have discovered in the last half century. Traditional armies are needed especially along hot borders {Indo-Pak, Indo-china, 38th parallel, etc} but the wars we will witness will be more akin to what we saw in Afghanistan or harassing engagements like Galwan & Doklum. This fundamental shift is only partly recognized by world armies and less so by politicians.
On the air warfare side drones in all their forms are bringing about a change in the human interface with the aircraft just like 50 years ago guided missiles brought a sea change in air-to-air and air-to-ground attack & defence or the way 80 years ago radar brought change in detection & ranging of incoming aircraft. Some of this technology will mature and become staple use. Some of it is hype that feeds on itself. I remind many that a stealth aircraft is partly invisible only to radar and that too only at certain angles. It is all the time 100% non-stealth versus Eyeball Mk I. In fact a stealth aircraft is a lot less stealth today, despite the media hype, than a diesel-electric submarine was even 50 years ago. Drones will become truly as lethal as a manned aircraft the day a drone can be programmed to execute the entire mission with zero radio communication in or out. My guess {and I could be wholly wrong} is that counter measures against drones will develop and prove to be more effective than those against manned aircraft. Where things will be 50 years from now I cannot say.
New technology publicized by reams of articles and media blitz has a tendency to blind the holder {of the technology} that he has the magic weapon. It blinds you to how your enemy, who doesn't read your media, can attack you going around all that technology by simply thinking differently. Many examples - the infamous 9/11 attacks using civil airliners as 100-tonne manned missiles; MiG-17s shooting down missile armed F-4 Phantoms in Vietnam; the Indian Navy using harbour defence Osa missile boats to bombard Karachi by towing them 300 nautical miles through open ocean; the IAF using Antonov An-12s & Caribou transports as bombers; the use of drones in Azerbaijan/Armenia etc. But yes in 50 years the pilot flying into war may become less common than it is now. But who knows a manned aircraft might be seen as the ultimate non-jammable weapon! |