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Originally Posted by TKMCE There are two airlines based in Maldives and one of them has an extensive short haul operation as well out of MLE.Neither of manageed to end up in a situation what you were suggesting...the so called "familiarity concept"
You can argue about statistics and metrics. When you are in the receiving end, you will I am sure stop arguing about it.
Please don't assume that only pilots who fly like you are the sole authority in matters of safety and that no one else is qualified to comment on it.
Statistics can be twisted around, and AV Herald is a convenient tool to score a quick point or two but accident reports do tell their story provided you take the time and effort to go through them. Kindly study the last 40 or so available on the Indian regulators website, you would hopefully understand what I was trying to say. |
Just because two carriers did not have any incidents or accidents on a airport they are familiar with doesn't proof anything. Looks like you are not very familiar with this particular subject. Lots of research available from multiple sources around the world. Statistically more incident and accidents happen on the inbound flight and around one's home airport.
40 reports on the Indian regulator website don't mean anything although each needs to be take seriously. Have you compared how many reports the FAA has published in the same time? Or any other large regulator? Why do you think this is a lot or bad or draw any conclusion at all?
It is all about context or better statistical significance. Again you are claiming I am making certain statements. I am not and I am not an authority on aviation safety.
But I am a pilot and I do know a bit about statistics. If you check my other contributions about Indian aviation you will find I have been highly critical for years on your DGCA. They were the prime reason India was downgraded by ICAO.
Lots of factual and statistical significant evidence that lead to this humiliating disaster.
However, I lack any insights as to how many incidents/accidents Indian carriers have compared to non Indian carriers.
As far as I can tell neither do you. You base your conclusion on the number of reports published (and apparently not published).
To me that is just a very silly way of looking at the world. As I said before, the FAA website has many more reports available. Does that make US carriers less safe than Indian carriers?
As I see it you base your conclusion in your bias that 40 reports is a lot. But you fail to substantiate why that is a lot. You don't compare it with data from other parts of the world.
I have commented many times on my thoughts about Indian aviation. And although I don't have data to support it I believe they are under represented in the Aviation Herald. That in itself is probably an indication in itself. Indian aviation inn terms of planes and flights is pretty huge. How come we hear so little about them when it comes to incidents and accidents?
Read though any western aviation publication. You will find many article written by pilots "confessing" how they screwed up. All so others can learn. I see very few if any articles from Indian pilots. Again, I don't have exact data. It is just an observation. But at least it is an observation where I am trying to compare things.
You are not comparing anything, nor offering any factual information to substantiate your claim.
This is a free public forum so anything goes. But to me your claim has no value. I don't learn anything from it. I am not provided with some reference as to why you think so. It is just an opinion with no substance.
You are entitled to your opinion and the way you make your own conclusions, but I find them lacking substance, data and context.
Which is a shame because I think there might be lots of stuff that needs improving big time when it comes to Indian aviation. Again, that is mostly opinion, gut feeling if you like.And also some experience thrown in having been in an Indian aviation emergency. Oh, and knowing a lot of people that are helping the DGCA and carriers getting their act together. They are all fairly confident that they have their work cut out for years to come.
Again, not factual, more anecdotal. But certainly context.
40 reports on a website isn't context if you start considering the sheer number of flight happening in India on a day by day basis. Totally and utterly statistically insignificant.
You want to make impact with an opinion you have to come up with more data, facts, substance and context. Otherwise it is just a hollow claim. Not necessarily incorrect or correct for that matter, just lacking substance, thoughtfulness and context.
Which is a shame as it is a very interesting topic
Jeroen