Quote:
Originally Posted by saikarthik 1. Is the complete ecosystem ready with a roadmap for such transformation? I am not talking about the EV ecosystem, but the current one - Oil companies/auto ancillary related employment and economy, offshore rigs, equipment and so on... |
Even if the sales of ICE cars were to be suddenly stopped, there will still be million of ICE cars running anyway. The oil business's though will have to re-invent themselves or they will die their natural death just like Nokia. The combination of electric cars and artificial intelligence is sure to cause massive job losses and the governments are already thinking in that direction with Universal Basic Income payment.
Quote:
Originally Posted by saikarthik 2. Re-Skilling service technicians to handle HV systems safely! It is not the same case as IC engine battery systems. |
I dont think for 99.99% of the normal service they would even be going anywhere near the HV battery. Infact apart from perhaps replacing the batteries under warranty or once they are worn out, I dont think there is any situation which calls for the technician to personally check the battery by taking it out. A Tesla's battery is still safe if you take it out - there are no live wires hanging around if that is what you mean. The diagnostics will take care of that too.
Quote:
Originally Posted by saikarthik 3. Is the fire department planning to be ready with training and equipment to address vehicles burning at 3000 degree Celsius ? |
Thats a long shot to be honest. Our emergency crews dont even have the basic hydraulic rescue tools - the claws, the cutters etc. If a citizen's life ever becomes important in this country I am sure they will. Again, we dont have to re-invent the wheel, we just to do what others are or will be doing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by saikarthik 4. Plan for transition phase, when EVs dominate sales and IC vehicles start disappearing on the roads how viable is to operate say a service center or gas station? |
If there is no petroleum company why would a petrol station exist? In the meantime they will have to re-invent themselves as well. Interesting times for sure.
Quote:
Originally Posted by avira_tk The revolution seems to be built on subsidies, these countries are far richer than India. The only take away I got from this is that they are moving to electric from diesels, quite expected. |
Subsidies help for sure but I would not say they are the only reason. Its a nudge for sure but once you have lived with a good electric car, its hard to go back. Look up stats of people moving back from an electric car to ICE again - there would hardly be any. I know a few friends who have gone fully electric after buying one. I would infact argue that electric cars soon would become so good that buying an ICE vehicle would not make any sense. It already is the case atleast for me - I cannot find a better performance car for $100k AUD than a Tesla Model 3 Performance. A BMW M3 for example is 50k more, will cost considerably more to run and insure and a whole lot more to maintain, and will have much worse resale and also long term reliability and worst still it still isnt as fast as the Tesla. A 70k base Model 3 is still 5.6 seconds to 100 along with all the benefits of no maintenance or spending on fuel. Its not too far off of the price of a Golf GTI which is close to 55-60k's
Infact if you have got solar panels on your roof, you could practically drive for free or close to free given feed in tariffs arent that high.
Quote:
Originally Posted by avira_tk The faster they get rid of petrol hybrid vehicles the better, they achieve nothing but half the mileage with four times the complexity. |
This could not be further from the truth. Petrol Electric Hybrids are a great idea, an idea that has been proven already, for efficiency especially when driven in the cities. Take Toyota RAV4 for example - how many 200 bhp+ petrol SUV's will deliver close to 18 kmpl in the city? Or the new Yaris which gets 25 kmpl! They arent slow cars either - the RAV4 get to 100 in 8.x seconds and the Yaris is about 10!
As for reliability - Toyota Prius is one of the most reliable cars on the planet - infact all Toyota Hybrids have great reliability. Its not hard to find a hybrid Camry taxi with more than 500k on the clock - still on the factory engine and original hybrid batteries. I feel they are a great stop gap solution until we go completely electric.
Quote:
Originally Posted by avira_tk These markets have high percentage of luxury cars in the sales mix, they are nothing like India. People are trying to cut their running costs as high fuel taxes make commuting unaffordable. This won't go on for long, every single bit of revenue lost will be recovered with additional taxes on electricity, green or otherwise. |
They are already planning to tax electric car for every kilometer travelled in the state of Victoria but it is a regressive tax and Australia is one of the worst countries to be when it comes to incentivizing electric vehicle adoption. It will be interesting to see how the governments will cover the revenue gaps once they becomes fully mainstream.