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Originally Posted by mayankjha1806 That's so easy for you to say that. |
I was being sarcastic.
Anyway, the point is that assuming you will always be getting more than what you pay as loan interest is speculative!
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Originally Posted by mayankjha1806 I did read it, as much as i could. I find it hard to imagine the guy who made billions by investing in stock market is suggesting others to not do the same. |
He isn't suggesting anything even close to that. Warren Buffet (and his teacher Benjamin Graham) have always said you cannot *not* invest in stocks.
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Originally Posted by mayankjha1806
On the HDFC top 200, yes the managers managing that are smart. What you are looking at is returns only in last one year, wherein market had taken some beating and so most funds had lower returns. |
So in the same period, if you had money to buy a car outright & you instead took a car loan & invested your own money with as much expertise as the HDFC Top 200 managers, what would have happened.
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Originally Posted by mayankjha1806
This fund has been performing over last 16 years and if one calculates its CAGR over 5 years + range it should come over 14%+, I have not done it fully but this is what i see on the web site. |
I posted the returns for 3 years which is the period for what a lot of car loans happen.
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Originally Posted by mayankjha1806
PS: VR says over last 16 years this fund gave 22% annualized returns. I would request you to do decent research before pulling down something out of the blue. Here is what VR says about the Fund. |
16 year figures are meaningless because a car loan doesn't last for 16 years.
You are totally mistaking my point. I don't say do not invest in the market (neither does Warren Buffet). I am not even saying do not invest in the market on borrowed money (which is essentially what is happening if take a loan inspite of having money & then use your own money to invest in stocks). All I am saying don't do this & then claim this is the financially smart thing to do. Just because it worked out doesn't prove it (which was essentially what I tried to say when I quoted the coin flipping example).
If you have money to buy something like a car & you do not use it to buy a car but take a car loan & use your own money for investments, it not a financially sound thing to do.
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Originally Posted by Prodigyy Investment & Merchant bankers are there meant for this specific job of investment of there money to garner greater returns. Banks have been made not to earn hefty amounts of money like say 20% or more worth the return on every penny invested, but to serve the public in general & for the betterment of the society & business atmosphere on the whole.
To garner returns in the range of 15% and above Investment & Merchant banking divisions have been set-up. I don't think the policy makers have been anywhere close to foolish in making these policies. |
I fully agree with you upto here. I was being sarcastic to prove the opposite of what I wrote.
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Originally Posted by Prodigyy As far as the loans are concerned, i think its a personal preference for everyone. There are some people of take loans to pay them off well before its payment term, whereas there are others who have the ability to pay off the loan but still choose not to due to other financial commitments & unforeseen circumstances. For me, i have been paying EMI's since the past 6 months for my car loan & have enough with me to pay off the entire amount within a flash, but i see myself using that cash for other better usage, where my money would grow manifolds better than paying off my loan. |
This is what I am writing about. If there was a safe way by which your money would grow manifolds as compared to interest you are paying for a loan, then Banks wouldn't have had to operate under these rules.
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Originally Posted by Prodigyy
But then, how much percentage of Indians do you think are fortunate enough to pay off there loan amounts within an year of borrowing it ?? Not many i guess. If those same people were to wait for enough money to be collected, i don't think we would be seeing about half as many vehicles on the road as we see today. |
How is that a bad thing? Other than that, there are 2nd hand cars, there are new cars which are cheaper than the one you are taking out a loan for etc.
Again I am not saying one shouldn't take loans to buy a car if one cannot afford to pay for it outright
My point (for the last time) is 2 things
1) Taking a loan is my definition of living beyond your means. Again, I am not saying you shouldn't do it. I am saying you should acknowledge this and do it.
2) If you have the money to buy a car outright and you still take a loan, its doesn't make any financial sense. Again I am not saying you shouldn't do it - since we have a lot of people here who routinely outperform great investors. I am just saying it's not a financially smart thing to do.
Not taking a loan is a sure way to make 12-15% (or whatever is the car loan interest rate) on your money. There are no other such safe investments giving this kind of return.
But in the end, it's people's own preference.