I applaud the government and the ministry to have thought of this project but at the same time I would say that the implementation is utterly ridiculous. It is another hair-brained scheme of some babu sitting somewhere who wants his 15 minutes of fame. I can assure you guys it will be an absolute disaster.
Now let's address the concerns raised by the forum members one by one:
1. Firstly, it is true that the dealers stock up before a price hike and derive benefit. But accusing them of profiteering is grossly incorrect, for the simple reason that when prices are revised downwards, the dealer incurs losses as well. It is no surprise that the profits and losses get nullified.
2. Secondly, the country lacks basic infrastructure to support the implementation of the project. Close to 50 percent of the total fuel stations are not automated. What this means is, that once new prices are received by the dealer at midnight (Normally they come out at 1am in the morning), the price on each 'meter' on every dispensing unit needs to changed manually (more the number of dispensers/nozzles, more the work involved). The process involves entering a 'password' into the dispenser interface (before new price is entered), which is normally 4 digits and is ideally only known to the dealer or maybe a senior manager. This system is in place so that employees do not cheat the customers (by changing prices) in the absence of the owner. No dealer shall stay up till 1 am each night to do this task manually, let's get real here guys.
3. Thirdly, let us say the system is introduced. Where is the enforcement mechanism to make sure the prices are reflected accurately on a daily basis. We are all aware of what is the speed of flow of information between various government agencies in India. By the time the OMC responds to the requests of the Food & Supplies Deptt officer regarding the price for the day (so that he can verify if the dealer is cheating or not), it would already be 2-3 days.
4. Yes India can match the west in rocket science, but that is not the correct analogy. We are comparing 53000 dealers to a dedicated space research organisation. Different motivations basically. To answer the fact that the Western world can do it and we can't - Well most fuel stations in the west are being supplied using underground pipelines, and the dealer is paid a commission basis each gallon sold. That covers his expenses and the money left over is his profit. In our case, it is the average dealer paying up first to the OMC at the beginning of the day, then receiving stock by evening, and then selling it in the evening or next day. Assuming a few paisa downward revision and a dealer who has high sales, this is OK, since effect is minimal (stock will be sold by next day anyways). But let's think of the suburban and rural dealer (and mind you, there are loads of them). If he sells one tanker load over 10 days and there is downward revision, his working capital is indeed going to be finished.
5. This will give rise to rampant smuggling as long as GST is not introduced, dealers will try to offset losses against differential pricing across the state border.
Now, someone might argue with the following two arguments:
A/ The dealers will make money on upward revision too, so what is the issue?
Think of it this way, the dealers know that is the industry is going to die a slow death. Crude prices are slowly going to keep going down and it will eventually wipe out their working capitals sooner or later. No one wants to watch their money burn like that.
B/ The dealers have had a good time all these years and amassed enough wealth, and all industries have life cycles, so what is the big deal?
Well it isn't the big dealers who are affected so much as the smaller ones. For few, it is a source of livelihood. They'd rather not sell, than sell and watch their invested capital get destroyed.
I am open to discuss this topic further. Again, to reiterate, I applaud the move, but could have been rolled out in a better manner.
P.S. Someone also mentioned that the government isn't passing on the benefit of low crude prices to the end consumer. I honestly don't see an issue with that. It is a matter of trusting the government to putting that revenue to good use.