We have a 2015 Fiesta Titanium at home. So, how do I take this news?
Sad? You bet! Surprised? Not really!
1) Ford has moved on from the One Ford strategy where the number of platforms were reduced and parts were globally sourced. That strategy gave us global cars like the Fiesta and took EcoSport to the western market in return. So, how did that play out? Well, it helped Ford to find its feet after the subprime recession. And Ford did that on their own without filing bankruptcy like GM or Chrysler and running to the US govt. So, the strategy did work on a global scale!
But it didn't work out for certain models quite the same in select markets. The Fiesta flopped in India and the Western market couldn't care less about the EcoSport. In essence, the One Ford strategy works only for markets where the buying patterns are similar.
2) And that brings us to the Indian car market! Like it or not, it is extremely skewed and restrictive! The tax rates are very very high, the regulations are narrow-minded (small car rule anyone?) and the customer base projects herd mentality. The car buying behavior is largely emotional and built on perceptions, rather than being logical or rational. We are good at finding reasons to fit the narrative!
And this means, while some popular manufacturers or models can literally get away with murder, the market is extremely difficult for manufacturers who doesn't have the scale for economy or a global product line which isn't aligned to cars sold here in numbers.
3) So, the only way to make money in the Indian market is to go with cars bespoke for the market. Most times, what gets sold here cannot be sold elsewhere. Except for some niche offerings - and there is no volume in that. And it also needs considerable resources and bandwidth. And it not easy for a global manufacturer to do that indefinitely for a market which doesn't guarantee volume or money! Rough calculations suggest that, out of the 9 lakhs a customer pays for a Swift, MSIL will be lucky to get even 4 lakhs after taxes and other ancillary charges. And, that presents a big problem for the manufacturers who haven't gathered any significant volume over here.
4) The big carrot for Indian market was exports. The lost cost of manufacturing + a exploding domestic market attracted several global players in the last 2 or 3 decades. But has it really lived up to the huge potential? I feel the narrow minded rules and stupid regulations have killed it. We should have had crash regulations 10 or 15 years back! The very strong domestic car lobby has seen to it that the market play to different tunes compared to the developed markets.
And what has that shortsightedness cost us? Even different parts bin for the cars made for the domestic market hasn't helped. Developed markets wouldn't touch the cars made in India with a barge pole! And different parts bin only works when the domestic + exports volume makes sense! It looks like the domestic market is also losing its steam now - saw the numbers from March 2019? That is no coincidence. The cars in the domestic market for the money it commands doesn't present any value at all. That bubble is leaking! And leaking badly!
5) The car market world over is changing rapidly. For a domain which stood still without major disruptions in many many decades, the next few years will present a sea-change! I was in San Francisco back in Feb and March. The number of electric cars on road is absolutely unbelievable. And that was when the 35k Model 3 wasn't available as it is now. Even if we consider urban California to be at the cutting edge of technology, products and infrastructure; the rest of the world will surely get there in few years depending on the competence of the government, the circumstances or the will of the people.
With that in mind, what should a global player like Ford do? Continue to bleed money and effort in a market which doesn't align in any which way to the future plans? Or pull out from the weaker markets and concentrate on the ones which delivers now and will drive the future?
Keeping all this in mind, I respect the decision by Ford. At least, they tried and have not left the customers in lurch like GM. I will most certainly miss the company and its true blue cars. I am glad we made the choice to get the Fiesta home when we did.
And as an enthusiast who adore cars, I fear for our market. If we don't mend our ways and look to the future, we will be slipping into a market with very limited number of players. And that is not good! We should know this better than any other coming from days of an Ambassador or a Fiat. Just need to replace those models with manufacturers to get that analogy! Maybe, its already too late!
Sorry for the rather long tirade!