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Old 2nd March 2020, 15:24   #106
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Quote:
Originally Posted by volkman10 View Post
VW, Fiat, Nissan, Mahindra, Honda and Tata lead the top companies that de-grew the most in Feb-20.
With more than 400 outlets as per Car Dekho, wonder how Honda dealers are holding up with these numbers-7,200 units total in a month which turns out to 18 vehicles/month for an outlet! Viability will be in question, not to mention manpower retention.

Honda's monthly figures have reached where GM was hovering around 2013-14 when their downfall started.

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Originally Posted by wheelguy View Post
Passenger Vehicles Sales Trend of past 20 years! And yes; 2019 registered the highest YoY fall.


Source: Jato
Here is a detailed market share matrix with respect to the above graph:
Attached Thumbnails
The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19-market-share-2006-2019.png  


Last edited by ds.raikkonen : 2nd March 2020 at 15:37.
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Old 1st April 2020, 08:39   #107
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Slowdown will be too mild a word in the current scenario when Lockdown will be the more appropriate word today.

As auto companies will reveal its sales/dispatch data today it is predicted to see it down by 40-80% across segments.

Quote:
Passenger vehicle sales are seen at 145,000-150,000 units in March, halving from the year-ago month. Two-wheeler sales are expected to have slipped below a million units, dropping over 45%.
Quote:
showroom footfall dropped 45-50% in the third week as the coronavirus outbreak took hold around the world
April too will be no different( or could be worse as BSVI kicks in) since the lockdown is till April 14, dispatches will be lower this month as well amid plant shutdowns and the coronavirus outbreak impacting consumer sentiments.


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Old 1st April 2020, 11:03   #108
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

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Originally Posted by volkman10 View Post
--
As auto companies will reveal its sales/dispatch data today it is predicted to see it down by 40-80% across segments.
---
First causality of the slowdown ( Lockdown,BS6,etc.):

Auto sales in March 2020: Maruti Suzuki sales almost half.

Maruti Suzuki, India's largest carmaker, noted that its passenger vehicle sales for last month declined by 47.4 per cent as compared to March 2019.

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Source: Maruti Suzuki

Last edited by volkman10 : 1st April 2020 at 11:04.
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Old 1st April 2020, 15:08   #109
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

2020 March car sales snapshot

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- Overall markert fell by 52%.

- Meanwhile, Maruti and Hyundai grew their market shares 3.9% and 3.3% respectively.

- Mahindra and Honda are the biggest market share losers, Mahindra lost 7.2% and Honda lost 3.3%. Next comes Tata with 2.1% market share loss.

Source

Last edited by wheelguy : 1st April 2020 at 15:11.
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Old 1st April 2020, 16:06   #110
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Maruti Suzuki reports 16% sales fall in the last fiscal year, hit by a slowing economy and lean demand as well as the coronavirus outbreak.

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sold 1.56 million vehicles during the year ended March 31, compared with 1.86 million in the previous year
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Old 1st April 2020, 18:27   #111
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Covid-19 effect: Car sales crash in March 2020

Thanks to the Team-BHP fan (he prefers to remain anonymous) who sent this information in. Heartfelt gratitude for sharing it with other enthusiasts via this page!

March 2020 saw a sharp decline in car sales due to the Covid-19 pandemic and the subsequent lockdown. Overall sales across all brands fell by 51% compared to the same period last year.

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Maruti Suzuki sold 76,240 units, recording a drop of 47% compared to March 2019. Hyundai sales were also down 41%.

Mahindra saw a massive 88% drop in sales, while Tata Motors registered a 70% reduction. Mahindra and Tata sold 3,383 units and 5,676 units respectively.

Toyota and Renault sales were down by 45% and 54% respectively. Toyota dispatched 7,023 cars, while Renault sold just 3,269 units.

Ford sold 3,510 units and saw a de-growth of 58%, while Honda sold 3,697 units, down 72%.

Skoda sales were down by 68%, while Fiat registered an 89% decline in sales. Datsun and Volkswagen sales were down 92% and 95% respectively. With just 673 units sold, Nissan sales were down by 31%.

Sales of light commercial vehicles (LCVs) was also affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. Sales were down 62% compared to the same period last year.

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Old 1st April 2020, 21:14   #112
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Mahindra's numbers are the most surprising of the lot. Why was their hit greater than others?
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Old 1st April 2020, 21:55   #113
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

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Originally Posted by ank.nsit View Post
Mahindra's numbers are the most surprising of the lot. Why was their hit greater than others?
They were hit by components shortage as supply of imports from China were hit by the virus!
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Old 1st April 2020, 21:57   #114
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

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Originally Posted by volkman10 View Post
They were hit by components shortage as supply of imports from China were hit by the virus!
Then why just them? Do they have more China sourced parts than other manufacturers?
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Old 1st April 2020, 22:16   #115
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

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Originally Posted by ank.nsit View Post
Then why just them? Do they have more China sourced parts than other manufacturers?
Here is their statement on the low volumes:

Quote:
Our performance in March has been muted on account of the impact of the current lockdown related to COVID-19 and the disruption in our BS-VI ramp up plan. The latter was planned between February and March, but was affected due to the challenges of parts supply from global and local suppliers
And,

Quote:
Talking about the production scheduled of its BS IV vehicles that were hit due to the supply constraints from China in February
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Link1

Last edited by volkman10 : 1st April 2020 at 22:18.
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Old 2nd April 2020, 01:40   #116
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Obviously we can't read too much into these numbers due to Coronavirus/ last month of BS IV.

That said, I wouldn't want to be a Volkswagen sales rep now. The world's second largest auto maker sold fewer cars in the entire country than some Maruti showrooms.

Except for the Big 2 (Maruti/Hyundai) and a few others (Kia, Tata, Mahindra, Renault), this down turn is only highlighting how most OEM's are barely hanging by a thread.
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Old 2nd April 2020, 09:37   #117
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Unfortunately, the worst is yet to come. Even if the crisis goes away by April or may, the car market would have a very difficult time. The crisis would definitely see job losses, salary cuts and sinking businesses. In such a situation, disposable income would reduce and priorities would change. Quite a lot of car purchase plans would be put on hold or even get cancelled.

Last edited by Sanidhya mukund : 2nd April 2020 at 09:39.
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Old 2nd April 2020, 15:50   #118
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

While March definitely was bad news for everyone, it seems Renault still has a reason to celebrate. They are only manufacturer who has a growth in sales in FY19 compared to FY18.

Personally gives me a little bit of relief that because of this they should be here for a few years more.

Last edited by Altocumulus : 2nd April 2020 at 15:54.
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Old 13th April 2020, 09:16   #119
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Car makers likely to defer launches, realign strategy over outbreak.

-Automakers are likely to delay product launches scheduled for this year, as the Covid-19 outbreak and lockdown have compounded problem of an already slow market

-In the BSVI transition in which Supreme Court has given a 10-day breather to sell 10% of unsold BS-IV inventories after the lockdown is lifted, automakers will be clamouring to sell those first.

- BS-VI products of some companies are yet to even test the waters, with pricing being a challenge
Quote:
The focus for most OEMs (automakers) is to recover from the current situation and get their business sustainable. New model launches won't have a positive impact right now as consumers can't even step into dealerships for some time
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Old 1st May 2020, 10:14   #120
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Default Re: The great Indian automobile industry slowdown of 2018-19

Maruti Suzuki records zero sales in April 2020. Expect others to report a similar story.

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Last edited by volkman10 : 1st May 2020 at 10:41.
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