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I was wondering. After 2 yrs, when all the NANO hype dies down, it becomes a common feature in our lifes, everyone owns one, each street has 10 nano's, a nano is a gift for your 18th birthday, What'll be the second hand value of this car?

Maybe, in 2 or 2 1/2 yrs we would be able to get a used nano for 50k.

Pls take a guess. Or if someone has a scientific way calculating pls do.

An average car usually depreciates by only 20-30% in 2 years.
So what makes you think Nano will drop by 50%, I presume the car is decent enough, and there will still be strong demand for it - be it new or second hand.

Me thinks that the demand would be still there. Reason, it should take around 1 or even more years to deliver the car to all guys booking. If thats true, then it may even have 90% cost after 2 yrs. Lets see...

correct and also the next lot of Nanos ( after the initial order) in all probability WILL NOT BE AT THE SAME PRICE. it will definetly be at a 10-20k premium

after 2 or 2.5 years, Nano will not be available at today's prices, and the value of second hand Nano will be determined in comparison with the brand-new's price. Hence, I would think there will be a support at around 1L even that time.

Nano will have a good stand in the used car market. Maximum depreciation will not be more than 10-15% in 2 years.

New cars will not be yet freely available.
A person who collects 1lac to buy this car will always appreciate a less priced used car.
25k less than the new car will be considered a big amount by the people who will be looking to buy this car.
For anything which costs less than the normal market prices, it is very rare to see it's price drop much in the used/2nd hand market.

These are some reasons I see for the Nano to be powerful in the used car market.

In 2 years, once the Nano V2 is out, the used car prices of the original ones will fall more than the standard depreciation amount for other cars.

soon tata will have made 1 lakh nanos , and then he will increase the price of the base version further , so i think resale values will hold for some more time. That is , unless they have the same scale of issues as teh indica V1's

I think Nano will be a good buy second hand and at good price as well because Tata will launch Nano diesel and Nano petrol with Abs/airbags in future so that will increase the price of Nano somewhere around M800.
Will still be a good buy considering much expensive Santro with more powerful engine doesnt have Abs/airbags yet.

I think the Nano will have a good resale value for atleast a year and half after launch,because of the fact that demand will far outstrip supply during this period.

If the prices of a used Indica or a used M800 are anything to go by, then the Nano will have a very strong resale value. Cars with a lower price tag depreciate slowly compared to the upper segments. Coupled with the demand/availability, I can hazard a guess that a used Nano will even command close to 90% of it's value after 2 years, in agreement with mjothi.

Just curious. The initial maruti 800 (released around 1984 for 50K??), if sold now how much it would yield? Certainly 10 - 20% less than purchase price, right?

So there is a lower limit beyond which its toooo difficult for any vehicle to depriciate. :)
Just my opinion.

there is a possibility that a used nano will be more expensive than the new one until the hype dies down (or tata manufactures more than 50k per annum)

My uncle sold his old model 800 a couple of months back for 25K. He had an offer for 30k but one of his friends wanted it for his dad so he gave it to him for 25. And oh, he bought it 2nd hand from another relative who was leaving the country, in 85 (I think) for 40K.

It will take more than 2 years for everyone to get their hands on it, since they have issues with delivery.

Plus by then maruti would have decreased alto to fit in 1.5L range so some will opt for the tried and tested alto than the Tata brand with its small little problems as seen in Indica.