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Originally Posted by Octane_Power If they use all their talent and experience I think Alo and Kimi both can climb atleast 2 places just a few seconds into the start. |
With Ferrari lacking the top speed and having faster Merc engined teams all around them, it would be difficult to hold off the guys behind for long on the start-finish straight.
Here is my analysis of possible pit stop strategies for the teams.
Pit stop strategy should be interesting. Most teams other than Merc might opt for different strategies within the teams.
For Mercedes, they might stick to the same strategy for both drivers so that they can fight each other for the win. Given their speed difference to others, they could actually go for 2 stops for both drivers and still manage to lap faster than other cars, while not taxing the engine so much.
RBR could be running 3 stops for Ricciardo since he seems to be clearly faster than the anything other than Mercs. For Vettel, it could be 2 stops if they are unable to resolve all the issues and we might see them gamble with a start on mediums for VET.
Force India likewise could go with 3 stops for Perez and 2 stops for Hulk considering their starting positions. I wouldn't be surprised if Hulk starts the race on mediums.
Williams might opt 3 stops for Bottas to fight with Perez while putting Massa on 2 stops since he is likely to get stuck looking at Button's gearbox for most of the race. If they have any reliability concerns for the engine, we could see both cars on 2 stops.
McLaren is again an unknown quantity for the race - their starting positions and overall pace suggests 2 stops but even the 3 stops wouldn't be a bad idea for Magnussen as he is comparatively less experienced than Button in nursing the car without taxing the tyres and still maintaining enough pace to hold up the faster cars behind long enough to spoil their strategies. Button is most likely going to attempt 2 stops.
Ferrari might opt for 2 stop strategy for Alonso as this seems to be the sensible option for them with a slower car. For Kimi, it could be 3 stops as he doesn't seem to be comfortable on the medium tyres. They'll have to do 2 stints on medium if they are doing one stop less and it could prove to be slower if he is not getting the right balance from the car for 80% of his race while on medium tyres. It could be a decision they keep open during the race and decide half way through the second stint or so depending on how easily he can pass other cars on soft tyres. If he is getting held up even on soft tyres due to lack of top speed, they might switch him back to 2 stops.
Remaining 5 teams will only serve the purpose of holding up others based on their performance so far this weekend. With the grip levels of Lotus, they might actually play a crucial part in the race and the pit strategies of others with a potential safety car intervention.
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Originally Posted by Octane_Power 1st place fight will be only between the two Mercs and can't see anyother driver challenging them, whoever will be ahead after the 1st lap will begin just going farther and farther from the rest of the pack and go all the way to the finish. |
It is more likely that the 2 Mercs would pull away from the rest of the pack unless someone manages to squeeze in between them into the first corner. I don't see a gap opening up between the Mercs unless there is some other car in between.