Re: Car sales falling. Why not realty prices too? Most of you have already told the real reason why Property Prices are not going down so won't delve on that, but my point there's a limit and after that the bubble will eventually burst. My hunch is that the D-Day will come after 2014 elections (or whenever elections happen). I visit many townships/apartments in NCR region daily and on an average only 40% flats are occupied in "old" buildings (around 5-6 years old) and 20-25% are occupied in relatively new ones.
On top of it all, I see many under construction buildings and I just can't help but ask myself, where are the people who can afford to live in so many expensive flats ? On an average a decent flat costs around 1-1.25 Crores and when you see Towers after Towers being built you just question the viability of it all considering the prevalent poverty in our country, a country in which 70% of the population is extremely poor.
Coming to the Under Construction part, many ongoing projects are Delayed. The reason being that no one's buying. The Developers are not paying the Contractors or they have a few men working on the site to show some activity is going on, to avoid the spookiness of an abandoned project. No one's buying because the prices have reached the sky. There's a limit to what everyone can pay for a flat, the builders and brokers can keep on increasing the prices but there won't be any buyers. The brokers and builders have a cartel and work hand in glove to appreciate the prices but it's the buyers who are to be blamed for accepting whatever is thrown at them.
I have personally asked a broker about a flat costing 1.2 Cr. The broker has already paid 40L to developer and is now asking me to pay 80L to broker and 80L to the developer. So the total is 1.6 Cr and the broker earns a cool 100% profit on his investment of 40L. He told me this is the premium, on a project which has been delayed endlessly and is yet to have the structure completed. Needless to say, I told him to take a hike.
I know people who have booked flats in a project without seeing the approvals, floor plans, show flats or anything. They went, saw the barren land and paid the booking amount and got a flat. Even excavation of land hasn't begun yet. All in the hopes of the "returns" that Property/Realty pays. We are ultimately a herd-country. Some people have earned money in Property & Stock Trading and the next instant all his known associates will follow in his footsteps to try to emulate his success.
Just like the Dot Com Bubble, this too will also eventually burst and I am waiting for that time. |