Quote:
Originally Posted by vrprabhu If there is so much saving in margin, shouldn't you and I customer get the benefit of lower input costs due to GST? How many such items have you come across?
I am not competent to judge whether the call for reduction in tax rates is right or wrong. |
Spot on. Well said. Personally, I see it as a double-whammy we're facing and part of it is a fallout of the famous "hockey-stick" that GST causes - while the other part is caused by socialist policies and bungling on demonetisation and follow-through of removing the 1K and bringing in 2K.
1. No - most firms did diddly-squat about the pass-through of benefits - and the government did bugger-all apart from sending a stern circular threatening strict action if we (businesses) didn't pass on benefits of GST. Issue is - companies like us who sold at "ex-works" with all taxes and duties extra did nothing anyway, since our prices were always clear; firms that should have been targeted were those with "MRPs" - but they weren't.
2. GST impact is to reduce net collected amount per transaction - but to widen the overall net therefore bringing more business to the organized sector and ensuring that with increased transparency, there is less evasion. Also, you leave more money in the hands of the consumer - thereby increasing spending power (less tax paid, so more can be bought with the same disposable income). But these are just not happening. Nominal GDP is growing faster than GST collections - implying that there is a return of business to the "informal" sector - which brings us to Points 3 and 4.
3. When demonetization was announced, a key assumption I had was that we'd see more lower-denomination (100) notes than higher ones like 500 and 1000. Instead we got 500 and swathes of 2000s! While it may not be like it was in the early 2010s, there is no doubt that "cash is back" and there remain businesses that are "off the radar" completely. From start to end, there is no value chain seen at all on accounts seen by the digital world - so that's one impact gone - which leaves you with the benefit only of each consumer buying more, but...
4. ...direct tax (IT) went up! I'm paying a massive surcharge over and above peak tax. So effectively, I am left with less in hand than I used to have. My spending power is therefore reduced. This is obviously not just restricted to me alone. Also, tax rates at the higher income brackets are now so high that evasion is very attractive for someone with the means for it. I typically put the cost of evasion at 15% of amount evaded. Then there is "risk premium" of evasion, which people value at 5-10% based on risk appetite. At a tax rate of 25% or so, most people would not evade. But at 35%+, bang! It makes sense for many who can afford to do it (basically those who are not in professional businesses).
But our governments are run by socialists - all parties advocate "take from the rich" so tax rates just don't fall. Even if Modi wants to reduce them (he doesn't it would seem, so this is moot), he can't because he will be derided for being a "suit boot" PM.
On reduction of rates, I don't think firms in FMCG, durables etc. can justifiably ask for reductions in GST. That said, we are all entitled to demand a reduction in IT rates. They're at a shamefully high level.
TL/DR:
1. GST isn't the flaw; we've not brought "unorganized sector" online
2. "Cash is back"
3. IT rates are way too high; GST on FMCG, durables etc. is also fine.