[slamnos]

Hello Guys,

Sharing with you the Citywise Car Sales Analysis for the financial year 2015 (Apr '15 to Mar '16)

This time though I have included additional analysis which you might find interesting.

I will be covering the following data in this post:

> Zone wise market share
> Top 10 States contributing to car sales (New)
> Top 10 Cities contributing to car sales
> Segment-wise Top 10 cities
> Top 10 cities growth v/s last year
> Brand-wise city market share (New)

Starting with Zone-wise sales, nothing much has changed since last year except slight decrease in North zone (I believe it is due to ban on 2000 cc and above Diesel vehicles)



Top 10 States contributing to car sales:

This is a new addition in this year's post, this gives a perspective of how in some states, a cluster of small towns can outperform states which house big metropolitan



KINDLY NOTE: The subsequent Bar charts are color coded for easier understanding of data, kindly refer below graph for color coding



KINDLY NOTE: In all of the below data following cities have been clustered for easier understanding & hence
Delhi contains : Delhi + Noida + Gurgaon + Faridabad + Ghaziabad
Mumbai contains : Mumbai + Thane + Navi-Mumbai
Hyderabad contains : Hyderabad + Secunderabad
Chandigarh contains : Chandigarh + Mohali + Panchkula

Top 10 Cities contributing to Car Sales

Key Highlights:
> Bangalore pips Mumbai to become the second largest car market in FY-15
> Jaipur Swaps rank with Kolkata, now ranks 8th
> Cochin loses its spot to Lucknow in Top 10 Cities



Following table gives you list of Top 25 cities in sales volume & their contribution



Segment-wise Top 10 cities

Low Hatch Segment



Upper Hatch Segment



Sub-4 Meter Sedan Segment



Low Sedan Segment



Upper Sedan Segment



MPV Segment



Cross Over Segment



Lower SUV Segment



Upper SUV Segment



Key Highlights: All segments with bigger engines (Upper Sedan, MPV, Low SUV, Upper SUV) are going down in most top cities. Government are you reading this!

Following Chart shows what segment-wise contribution in each of the Top 10 cities



Top 10 cities growth v/s last year



Bangalore & Hyderabad seems to be growing in a rampant rate (already their base volumes are high enough)

Brand-wise city market share

Following Data shows how each Brand's (Manufacturer) market share against PAN India average.

This gives a perspective of which Brands are performing better/poor in each of these Top 10 cities compared to others.

NOTE
Red Cells denote lower brand share compared to PAN India average
Green Cells denote higher brand share compared to PAN India average
Orange Cells denote equal share

Delhi



Bangalore



Mumbai



Hyderabad



Pune



Chennai



Ahmadabad



Jaipur



Kolkata



Lucknow



To give you a better understanding of split up of cluster cities please refer to charts below

Delhi + NCR



Mumbai, Thane & Navi-Mumbai



Hyderabad & Secunderabad



Chandigarh, Mohali & Panchkula



Thank you for reading, hope this thread was informative.

If you need any other specific data kindly post in this thread, I shall try and fetch if available

[The Rationalist]

This chart can be used to improve the transport infrastructure of the top 25 cities at priority basis, as these cities are going to have similar vehicle growth in the coming years. The top 25 contributes to more than 50% sales and I'm sure the population would be around 10 or 15 % of the total population. This disproprortionate sales will choke these cities in another decade if the public transport doesn't gets revamped altogether. Is anyone listening at all is the big question?

[KiloAlpha]

Thanks for this @Slamnos, very useful stats.

What I find interesting is that Maruti is performing poorly (in terms of market share) in most of the large cities when compared to their pan-India market share. For example, in Mumbai, Maruti has 31% market share; in Bangalore 36%.
Which probably means that, in B & C category towns, Maruti rules the roost. And other brands like Ford, VW, Renault, etc have little to no presence.

[paragsachania]

Lovely thread yet again this year slamnos. Always interesting to see What is sold, where is it sold, how much they sell and all these reasons contribute to why we rant about traffic in city or while driving on highways in few states!

Here are some of the interesting points from the data you published:

• The total car sold in Top 25 Cities is 1375918
  
  
• NCR has the largest share with 21.49% of cars sold among the 25 cities
  
  
• Maharashtra alone accounts for 16.79% of this share among 25 cities from Mumbai, Pune & Nagpur
  
  
• Karnataka is at the 4th spot with 10% and cars sold 9.76% is the share from Bangalore alone (134289 cars)of the total share of 25 cities which is higher by 1.42% from its immediate predecessor Gujarat that accounts for 8.34% from 3 cities of Ahmedabad, Vadodara and Surat combined with 114817 cars
  
  
• State wise after NCR, Maharashtra and Gujarat account for highest number of cars sold coming from 6 cities from these 2 states - Ahmedabad, Surat, Vadodara, Mumbai, Pune, Nagpur - This is 25.14% together from these 6 cities while Delhi/NCR alone stands at 21.49%
  
  
• Interestingly the city wise data also tells us why we rant so much about Bangalore traffic - There has been no other city from the state of Karnataka in top 25 (Mangalore, Mysore, Hubli-Dharwad, Belgaum etc)
  
  
• If one looks at the top 25 cities 3 from Maharashtra fares like this :1st is Mumbai (54%) followed by Pune (35%) with Nagpur at 3rd spot buying 11% of the total cars sold from these 3 cities together
  
  
• 2 Cities from Tamil Nadu in top 25 are Chennai and Coimbatore. Chennai bought 77% cars while Coimbatore at 33%
  
  
• Among 3 top Cities In Kerala, Trivandrum being the state capital contributed just the least at 28% while Kochi stood 1st at 41% followed by Calicut at 32%
  
  
• Among the top 10 cities, Pune is the only Non-State capital in the list at 5th spot
  
  
• Highest selling states are Maharashtra, UP and Gujarat although Karnataka stands 4th, Bangalore alone that has 70% of the share from all new cars sold across Karnataka

Further more, how cities fare within their own states:

• Of the total cars sold in Maharashtra (333394), 69% comes from Mumbai-Pune-Nagpur (231067)
  
  
• Of the total cars sold in Gujarat (199023) - 58% comes from Ahmedabad-Vadodara-Surat (114817)
  
  
• Of the total cars sold in Karnataka (197956) - 68% comes from Bangalore alone (134289)
  
  
• Of the total cars sold in Kerala (181815) - 49% comes from Kochi-Calicut-Trivandrum (89687)
  
  
• Of the total cars sold in Tamil Nadu (170048) - 60% comes from Chennai-Coimbatore alone (102187)

[slamnos]

Originally Posted by The Rationalist

This chart can be used to improve the transport infrastructure of the top 25 cities at priority basis, as these cities will be going to have similar vehicle growth in the coming years.

Absolutely, actually the RTO will even be having regionwise data in a particular city too but the Government fails to do anything. However its high time city planners start acting before other towns replicate the issues faced in cities like Bangalore & Mumbai

Originally Posted by KiloAlpha

What I find interesting is that Maruti is performing poorly (in terms of market share) in most of the large cities when compared to their pan-India market share. For example, in Mumbai, Maruti has 31% market share; in Bangalore 36%.
Which probably means that, in B & C category towns, Maruti rules the roost. And other brands like Ford, VW, Renault, etc have little to no presence.

Yes, Similar trend can be found with brands like Tata & Mahindra, also there is a perception of high maintenance cost associated with global brands & hence Tier-3 & below generally play safe with Indian manufacturers.

And for manufacturers doing low volumes like Fiat, Mitsubishi etc, dealers have a strong role to play in certain towns as well. Dealers with good A.S.S have resulted in much better sales than the manufacturer himself doing advert campaigns.

[slamnos]

Below Table shows the Top 10 Models sold in the Top 10 cities, also have included PAN India Top 10 for reference, interesting to see the preference in each city

[vibbs]

Nice and comprehensive analysis. Amazed at how Delhi NCR is way ahead compared to all other cities. I believe the better network of roads (atleast within Delhi) do contribute to some of this.


BTW you may want to redo the colour formatting of the quoted table. Even Number rows are not visible due to colour.

Originally Posted by slamnos

Hello Guys,



Following table gives you list of Top 25 cities in sales volume & their contribution

Attachment 1540067

EDIT: Oops Just saw it has already been editted.

Originally Posted by paragsachania

[*]Among 3 top Cities In Kerala, Trivandrum being the state capital contributed just the least at 28% while Kochi stood 1st at 41% followed by Calicut at 32%

One more interesting thing is despite not having any city in the top 10, Kerala still figures at number 6 among the states with a 7% share. It is also the smallest and least populated state in the top 10 list.

[The Adventurer]

Originally Posted by vibbs

One more interesting thing is despite not having any city in the top 10, Kerala still figures at number 6 among the states with a 7% share. It is also the smallest and least populated state in the top 10 list.

It's increasingly common these days to have multiple cars in rural middle class nuclear families in Kerala.

[varunswnt]

Originally Posted by slamnos

Below Table shows the Top 10 Models sold in the Top 10 cities, also have included PAN India Top 10 for reference, interesting to see the preference in each city

Attachment 1540222

No Alto in Top 10 models for Mumbai.

Wagon-R is the first choice for Tier-1 cities, lot better than Alto in terms of space and practicality.

Ertiga, City, Creta, Ciaz - now these are cars greater than 4m and featuring in Top 10 for Mumbai. Mumbaikars seem to have climbed the ladder to better lifestyle and the choice of car shows it.

[Mad Max]

Very well done! Thanks for sharing these stats. Quite interesting to note that Bangalore, being a standalone city, makes up for a large part of these sales.

As someone suggested, maybe these can be used to figure out what type of infrastructure the cities need to plan for accommodating the future growth including public transport infrastructure.

[slamnos]

Originally Posted by Mad Max

Very well done! Thanks for sharing these stats. Quite interesting to note that Bangalore, being a standalone city, makes up for a large part of these sales.

Bangalore comes close to Delhi (stand alone city) in many segments , but when combined with NCR the Gap increases.

However going by the growth rate of Bangalore it might leap ahead of Delhi (Not NCR combined) in coming years.

[paragsachania]

Originally Posted by slamnos

However going by the growth rate of Bangalore it might leap ahead of Delhi (Not NCR combined) in coming years.

And that for me is an alarming trend to be honest.

Look at how traffic on some of the faster sections has increased in the past 2 years alone. Been discussing this on multiple other threads - Bangalore needs another partner to take the load within the state.

The list is a proof that no other city from Karnataka even comes in Top 25 Cities.

[Latheesh]

@slamnos - Thank you for the detailed analysis. Could you please share top 50 (1-25 already available, would like to see 26-50) city wise sales figures, if you have?

[slamnos]

Originally Posted by Latheesh

@slamnos - Thank you for the detailed analysis. Could you please share top 50 (1-25 already available, would like to see 26-50) city wise sales figures, if you have?

Sure, here you go!

[rajess_in]

Appreciate the effort and time put in to prepare such a detailed report.

How GST would affect the body styles and overall vehicle sales in the same cities would really intriguing.