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Originally Posted by SmartCat But before you explore this option, do understand the Terms & Conditions and also its unique risk factors. There is no free lunch.
- To buy a $50,000 car, you have to pledge shares/ETF/MFs worth $75,000 to $100,000.
- You will just pay 4% APR probably, since you are not as credit worthy as the billionaire, instead of 3% APR.
- Unlike a car loan, you don't have to pay back the principal.
- However, just like the billionaire, if you want the shares/ETF/MF back, you have to pay back the principal ($50,000)
- If the stock market tanks like in 2008 or 2020, you will asked to pledge more shares/ETF/MF. Or pay up $50,000 cash within 24 hours. That is the infamous margin call (which is literally a phone call from the financial institution).
- If you do neither, they will sell off your shares/ETF/MFs.
Congratulations. Because now you paid $75,000 to $100,000 for your $50,000 car! Plus interest paid so far. |
While, in theory, this is correct, there are a few other factors to consider.
An individual can not muster enough prowess over the entity that extended the loan facility. A billionaire can.
Suppose the shares tank by 60% suddenly (which has happened with shares recently in the case of Adani); the situation becomes complex. SBI - Adani's case was not much in the media about what really ensued regarding securing SBI's assets.
Pledging more shares in case the price plummets further reduces the value and price of shares.
When the shares tumble so much, the entity might not be able to recover even if it sells the shares. Also, the loan-extending entity must follow many safeguards and SOPs to sell off the shares. It can't be done at a whim.
While SBI mentioned that the Adani asset was even secured by cash flows from other Adani sources, not much is known publicly.
If there is really an issue that makes it impossible for the money to come back to the bank, the bank may just write off the loan, given political pressure. The government might also infuse public money to handle such a crisis or make arrangements to balance the situation. Some pledged Adani shares tanked even to the tune of 83%.
A billionaire could also just relocate to another country, a haven for such people, in case he cannot handle the situation and avoid paying back altogether.
This is a nice article on how billionaires have access to cheap yet mammoth sized liquidity through pledging shares.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnhya...g-their-stock/
Even if a billionaire is straight in paying back timely, the cheap access to liquidity and the potential gain in share prices/value are substantially high compared to an average Joe. The payback period of the loan runs into decades, by that time share prices generally sky rocket for him which allows him the comfort to borrow even more at even cheaper rates. If the stocks plummet too much and the lending entity sells them, the billionaire has no real downside. It is still equal to or better than selling the shares in the first place and spending money.
A billionaire could also cut his spending by a large margin to momentarily put his spending on hold and take care of the pledged shares, the payback of principal, and the interest. He could sell some assets or rent a yacht instead of buying new ones for a temporary period.
An average Joe, on the other hand, who pledged his shares, gold, or real estate might go broke in such a case and never recover from the loss as he has no real spending cutback options to take care of the principal and interest.
There are grey areas when it comes to billionaires while for an individual, it is pretty straight forward, payback in time or the lending entity will do what is required.
My response is not to argue or find faults in the theory; it is just observations.
On a different note, officegoers who emigrated to a foreign country on a good salary take a lot of credit in that country because their salaries give them a good credit score. They can borrow a lot of cheap money. After several years of everything going well, they decide to suddenly go back to their own country, cashing out the limits of their loan facility/credit cards, never to come back to that foreign country and just escape paying back. A lot of Southeast Asian people do that, including our own. It's not that people in other countries don't do it.
Central banks have safeguards in place for such incidents and individuals. Still, humans, being humans, are almost always able to find loopholes, take risks, risk their reputations/careers/creditworthiness, and even face legal proceedings. The temptation of getting cheap/free money is too great to stop them from caving in.