In some time, perhaps not in 5, or maybe not even 10 years, but someday, we'll see a thread on 'why I have no choice but to use public transport', at least for Bangalore.
I'm lucky that my commute is relatively short (~12km). I'm also lucky that I have 3 different alternatives to commute (Bike/Car, Bus and Metro (not all the way, but partly)). I usually use the bike to commute. The bike takes me an average of 30 minutes one way, the bus takes an average of 80 minutes and the Metro commute (which includes a 4 km bike ride to the Byapanahalli Metro station and a 2.5 km walk of 30 minutes to office from the MG Road Metro station) takes an average of 65 minutes (yes, I've timed them whenever I get the chance, to get actual data
). On the rare occasions that I take the car, I don't bother to time it, because it's a real nightmare to drive in this city! (I haven't used an auto in years, because I'd don't have the patience to deal with those idiots!)
I'll be the first to agree that public transport is not a great option at least in Bangalore. The bus frequency is bad in the evenings, and the Metro involves additional travel to get to and from the stations, which can be a real pain.
But here's the thing: the public transport scene has and will get better, while the 'own-vehicle-commute' scene will only continue to get worse.
I still travel to office on almost the same route that I used to travel to school (I still live in the same area where I grew up and two of my companies of the past 9 years are located in the CBD, not even a kilometer away from where I went to school for 10 years). Having seen the bus service then and now, I can honestly say that BMTC has improved. Yes, it has not kept up with the growth of the City, but the bus service was not exactly great 20 years ago on that route either. Now there's the Metro which can certainly be a great commuting experience, once completed.
On the other hand, what has really gone to the dogs has been the driving/riding experience on that route. And from what I see everyday, no amount of education/awareness campaigns, etc. is going to make that improve ever. It's not that the well-dressed executive in the expensive car behind me doesn't realize the futility of honking every 2 seconds when he can clearly see that there's a long line of vehicles in front, he just doesn't care. It's not that the idiot riding his bike on the footpath, barely 100 meters away from a police station doesn't know it's wrong, he doesn't give a damn. It's not that there isn't money to repair even what is supposed to be Bangalore's showpiece MG Road, but there will still be craters in front of The Oberoi. Since the factors preventing an improvement in this situation are nothing but internal and cultural, I don't have a hope of them improving ever. (And I haven't even mentioned what happens when it rains, did anyone else have to wade through the mini-lake that formed on Old Airport Road during last night's rain?!)
What will prompt people to migrate to public transport will be when they reach their threshold with this mess. As an example, I've reached mine. I've started taking the Metro on Fridays. Once the next two stations open, the walk from the nearest station to work will be cut down from the present 2.5 km to a breezy 1 km, that too through Cubbon Park and I'll take the Metro everyday, can't wait! 5 years ago, I would have worked anywhere, the location of a company was not a factor. Now, the main thing that's keeping me with this firm is the knowledge that the Metro is a viable alternative for the commute.
I realize that people have different thresholds- as evinced by the fact that people still fight the insane traffic and wait in line for parking on Saturday nights at the Forum, simply to pay infladed ticket prices to watch something like Chennai Express!
(SRK fans, please don't jump all over me, I'm not dissing your taste, just making a point here, please take the example in the context of the thread.) And not everyone will have the option of taking the Metro, even after it gets done. But I theorize that many, many more of us, will start looking for alternatives here and there. I'm sure it's already started for many of you. Making a choice to work here and not there because of the commute. Seriously trying out car-pooling. Adjusting work hours. Shifting to a company that allows work-from home. Slowly the number of people willing to do these will have to increase beacuse the alternative of riding/driving has become too much to take.
There's a long way to go before a 'mass-threshold-breach' though- labour is cheap, more people will hire drivers, people will buy bigger SUVs to insulate themselves further and increase the comfort of the commute (but the roads won't be getting wider anytime soon), companies will continue to support fleets of rowdies moonlighting as cabbies who break every road rule in sight, we the IT-middle-class will start accepting more and more strange scenes on the road as normal. Still a long way to go before the drama of the private-vehicle-commute plays out to it's inexorable end.
It would be great if the public transport scene also improved dramatically, instead of in small steps (the carrot of good public transport along with the stick of worsening private transport), but I don't have too much hope of that. What I'm saying is that even if that doesn't happen, the way the private ride scene is getting more toxic each day, a lot of us will, sooner or later, start finding it worth while to take public transport in some form or for some part of the distance.