This is going to be a very looooong rant but had to get it off my chest -
We elect our leaders with a hope that they will make use of the considerable resources comprising men & money at their disposal to arrive at and take decisive actions that will solve problems that are beyond an individual’s ken and hence cut the Gordian knot of what seems like complex reality.
At least that is the theory. What we see at present is that the same leaders have long ceased to be a part of the solution and have become a part of the problem. I could mention several issues to prove my point but will stick to rising fuel prices on this forum.
Every time there is a price hike we are told one of the following or sometimes both –
a) Rising Oil Prices
b) Weakening Rupee
We have always been told that we, one of the largest & most profitable markets in the world for basic commodities, is helpless in the face of “international market forces”. Has anyone ever said that the rising oil prices also incorporate a component of monopoly pricing/ corporate greed. Listen to the financial experts and you will only hear about peak oil phenomenon/rising demand on account of BRIC/ and of course the favourite conjunctural political factors like the ever present threat of war with Iran. Ever heard anyone talking about Monopoly mark up...? Guess not
Oil Marketing Companies -
Ask any politician/bureaucrat/Oil Marketing Co’s head honchos ad they will offer even less information and try to convince us that these are matters are far too complex for hoi polloi to understand.
With my very limited understanding of markets I would like to know- Do our Oil importing companies know that there is something called forward trading? Can they not acquire/secure oil contracts much in advance like other players? If they do all this then is the Govt selling us supplies bought at a lower rate at current market values. Is the govt profiteering and that too twice – 1) difference in the procurement & the selling price and 2) increased tax paid on higher selling price?
Are the Oil marketing companies operating efficiently? Have their operations been audited for efficiency so that they don’t add any avoidable cost to a very critical commodity?
The amount of money that is remitted every year on account of oil is so huge that systemic transparency from the original procurement to ultimate sale should be mandatory. Fuel/energy has become too important an issue to be left to the “experts” only. There must be a public debate on the matter as a lack of strategy/lack of development of alternatives shows that they have either long abdicated their responsibility or don’t have the requisite expertise in the said matter.
Oil importing companies on the other hand use every conceivable trick in the book to play with such a critical commodity. The following will make for some very cool reading –
The case for floating oil storage Oil producers running out of storage space - Business - Oil & energy - msnbc.com Government
Theoretically politicians hold a position that is akin to that of a Trustee. The indifferent attitude of government that we see in matters like these raises serious doubts regarding the commitment of these trustees. One sees a total absence of regret in their body language when they raise the prices. They have their hands in the till, their avariciousness knows no boundaries. They come on television and inform us on issues such as fuel price hike/rotting food grain in a country where people are dying of hunger/ farmer debt/jailed cartoonist in the most matter of fact manner possible. They spend more time debating whether they should get red beacons on their cars than they do on procuring gunny bags for transportation of surplus grains. That sense of Common Purpose is totally absent.
Coming back to fuel - By selling petrol at 2x times the actual procurement cost the govt reveals to the producers and commodity traders that there is a lot of upside in the price of petrol for them that can still be captured by them as they have no political compulsions. These producers/traders are deviously smart people who only have to manage the market price upwards because they understand that the only loser in this scenario will be the oil buying nation as beyond a certain price the cost of fuel will have no upward elasticity. In such a scenario to keep on buying oil the govt’s will have no option but to reduce taxes and that will only result in the traders/producers capturing a significant portion of the tax reduced rather than allowing the tax reductions to be passed on to the consumers .
Maybe the price rise has been put out keeping in mind that the rupee depreciation is a temporary phenomenon. When the situation corrects itself in another year or so (nearer to the 2014 elections than today) they will reduce the price and go to town about it. The way things are today economically the only way in future seems to be up!
Since the powers that be have no long term vision and are engaged in serious issues of who should/should not become the President of our country, the policy makers always grab the lowest hanging fruit – price rise. Alternative fuels and Mass mobility is addressed only when a city is about to or has already begun to crash under its own load.
Alternative Fuel
I have always felt that the agro fuels for a country like ours is going to be nothing short of a disaster as that will immediately result in transfer of land being used to produce food to fuel and thereby result in food scarcity and hence a price rise. Compared to Petrol the resultant reduction in air pollution too on account of agro based fuel is marginal to none.
I don’t even want to start on the KG basin Natural Gas conundrum. Today we have in the world the lowest Natural Gas prices for quite some time on account of development in Fracking etc and Reliance says that they are facing serious under recoveries from the earlier mentioned targets. This shows that the push and pull exerted by Reliance is such that they can afford to be blasé about the whole thing.
Today Electricity is in short supply as is and another device hankering for it is not something worth getting all up and about over.
A point I would like to make here – if a manufacturer makes a vehicle based on cheaper alternative fuel the manufacturer should not be allowed to capture the savings in the garb of super normal profits (as in the case of selling price of diesel vehicle being more than that of Petrol vehicle). By spreading that money over a larger base (# of customer) rather than a narrower base (# of shareholders) that money is more efficiently utilized in the economy.
Direct Consumer
It is an accepted fact that Economic efficiency is maximised when consumer prices reflect production cost + a decent return on investment. When a subsidy (even notional) is put in place it results in shifting of cost to other economic sectors. Any such action will only be grossly unfair to a non consumer and will encourage inefficiency on part of the direct consumer (one look at diesel/kerosene).
It must be kept in mind that Fuel taxes are also considered as a road user fee. Even then they fall short of the expenses incurred on the making/maintaining roads (not all are tolled).
Keeping this in mind there is no reason why automobile travel should be underpriced and subsidized. I will never accept any argument for a diesel BMW/Merc/Audi. To my mind, when there was a reason for subsidy on diesel then the govt should ot have allowed manufacturing of diesel engines for private automobiles.
Let me give another example – by financing roads with general taxes rather than user taxes benefits only the high consuming entities (individuals and industries) at the expense of non users/energy efficient consumers and industries.
This lont rant is the result of the 7 ½ bucks extra that we will have to pay but that price rise is only a sign of things to come. In the long run, I have a feeling that things will get significantly worse before they get better. I say this because this price rise, as i see it, is only a symptom of the malaise that is affecting our system. If some serious effort is not put in the direction of the alternatives (alt fuel/efficient mass transportation etc) we will keep on getting these wake up calls until they are recognised for what they actually are!
Thanks for bearing with me