![]() | #226 | |
BHPian ![]() Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Toronto
Posts: 562
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Also, remember Analytics Insights are very different to Stat Modeling and Machine Learning. The price tag of 3.5 lacs is actually low, one of my friends did a course from ISB and it set him back by over 12 lacs(just the course fees) if I am not wrong. In India, it does give you a tag, but the experts don't really think of it as something amazing. Let me reiterate again, if you are beginning in this area though, its a good thing to have. | |
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![]() | #227 |
Senior - BHPian | ![]() I personally believe IT is by and large a very non-core to the human life even today. If you were a doctor or an engineer or a CA or a lawyer or a farmer or some such craftsman, people somewhere would still need your services. With IT, the field is so immature, it's changing at an extremely rapid pace, and it will never be an integral part of the human life. Even if the world were dotted with the IOT devices, it's unlikely your neighbour will pay you to fix his washing machine issue that it doesn't send an SMS once it's done. He will most likely call the company and get it replaced. |
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![]() | #228 | |
Distinguished - BHPian ![]() ![]() Join Date: May 2007 Location: bangalore
Posts: 2,079
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Without talking about specific individual cases, the truth is there isn't much space at the top of the pyramid. There is also the threat of automation/AI, etc. to make few bottom of the pyramid jobs redundant. I feel such changes have already taken place in other industries and other markets so it is not exactly an unfamiliar territory. While it may work if you make few incremental changes like re-skilling, certification programmes, etc. but I am very skeptical. At least these things don't work in "top tier" job market where you will be competing with "perfect CVs" compared to "embellished CVs". This crisis might be a blessing in disguise for many middle aged folks to rediscover their mojo ![]() | |
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![]() | #229 | |
Senior - BHPian ![]() Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Bangalore
Posts: 1,683
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Secondly, every employee must answer what they offer to the company compared to a random Joe. If there is no concrete answer, I feel the employee must work towards building a credible answer to that question. BTW, any relation to this thread? https://www.team-bhp.com/forum/shift...graduates.html (IT Industry and Employability of Technical Graduates) | |
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![]() | #230 | |
Senior - BHPian | ![]() Quote:
But that's true of every sector. When I look at the other trades, I need an electrician, I need a plumber, I need a cobbler, I need a milkman, I need a doctor, I need a farmer. I don't need an IT developer. All the other trades aim to satisfy basic necessities which have integrated into our lives and cannot be easily separated. IT, unfortunately, is still virtual, hazy, not yet integrated. From the needs perspective, it appears very superficial. | |
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![]() | #231 | |
Senior - BHPian Join Date: Jan 2015 Location: Chennai
Posts: 1,417
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The Gods will be the owners of companies that churn out AI tech or the owners of companies that find a way to survive despite the prevailing AI. The Gods will also include all the AI programmers and scientists. The Useless class will be everyone else who'd inevitably be out of work, living on a state dole payout (universal basic income) that is sourced from a robo-tax on companies that utilize AI. Once AGI arrives finally - mankind may well cease to exist...but that's a story for another day. Back to the storyline though - why would there be a Useless class of people in the world? Think about it - the onward relentless march of AI is consuming all kinds of jobs and careers. AI is even consuming the jobs of last resort in developed economies as we speak, namely retail clerk positions, retail inventory jobs and driving jobs. As Martin Ford argues in his book 'Lights in the Tunnel', without enough jobs to employ people, the global economy will never be as prosperous again. Most of us will just be a bunch of useless people in the future, living off of state payouts. So let's reassess things again - it IT going to remain peripheral in our lives after all? | |
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![]() | #232 | |
BHPian Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: bang
Posts: 601
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Looks like a story line of the Blade runner ( 1982 ) movie. But for all this doomsday (my opinion) predictions of academics who remain glued to their computer screens, there is also a world which can work very well without IT. In india, IT has uplifted a entire class of people within a period of say 25 years ( beginning with early 90's ). Its natural that its now going through a correction. Just my 2paisa. | |
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![]() | #233 |
Distinguished - BHPian ![]() ![]() Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Bangalore
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| ![]() How old are all you guys here? None of these doomsday stuff will become a reality in India ever so soon. Our population demography will just not allow this so called AI to totally replace people everywhere. Local and central governments will act to ensure that people are continued to be employed or else that government is doomed. India is huge man, stop walking around the coop in your cities. I was backpacking in hubli dharwad rural 2 years back and happened to step into a cool bar. The guy sitting at the counter looked like a normal enough chap, but i was blown when he asked me in queens english what in bloody monkeys behinds was i doing here? After pleasantaries, he mentioned that he used to be a programmer in bangalore, got tired of all the rat crap, got out back to his little home town and opened an all purpose store which he says keeps him sane, calm and happy. In 30 years or so you will be dead anyway. So quit worrying and start exploring opportunities, they just might be in plain eyesight. |
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![]() | #234 | |
Senior - BHPian Join Date: Jan 2015 Location: Chennai
Posts: 1,417
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* Is Moore's law real? What is it? * How do exponential increments work? How much computing power is needed for AGI? * Is our world slowly moving toward digitization of formerly manual processes? * Are there employee-less retail shops in the world today? Are there driverless vehicles (in some stage or form of maturity)? How many people are employed in these careers in different countries? I was able to find answers to these questions. Hence my belief in the truth, which sounds stranger than fiction to the uninitiated. Fair enough. And here's what is really difficult to digest, but is logically borne out - if even 50% of people are left unemployed due to job losses in various industries, who would have enough disposable income to pay electricians, plumbers and cobblers? How many more of these supposedly invincible professions will crumble in a domino effect, because of a lack of disposable income? Edit: I apologize for going OT. I only wanted to present my POV that IT isn't irrelevant as it is being made out to be, especially in the light of what's coming our way. I'll stop now and let us return our focus to the plight of IT professionals in their 40s. Last edited by locusjag : 12th October 2018 at 13:34. Reason: Added edit | |
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![]() | #235 | |
Senior - BHPian Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Bangalore
Posts: 2,090
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Let me ask few simple questions and if answer is yes to anyone of them below the my friend you do need IT ![]() If you are an engineer in any core branch like Civil or Mechanical or an architect when was the last time you used a drafter and pencil to create a design ? Can engineers today create a drawing without CAD ? Do you need banking and prefer T+3 days settlement as it used to happen till early 2000s or prefer NEFT and IMPS ? Do you prefer to stand in queue for withdrawing cash using that withdrawal slip or prefer ATM ? I remember for filing my first IT return in Bombay in 97 ( Now Mumbai) I stood in a queue which stretched from Churni Road to Marine lines and I wasted one full day as I did not avail service of any agent. Do you prefer that or online return filing and e-verification ? Do you prefer FastTag or waiting in a queue on toll booth ? Do you prefer Google Maps or asking for directions on every turn ? Do you invest in stock market ? If you are not yourself a broker did you have access to stock market in pre NSE Era when few brokers called the shots on floor of BSE in cryptic signs language ? When was the last time you ever received a wrong number on landline phone ? Do you remember how many wrong numbers one used to get in electro-mechanical cross bar exchange era Can 4G and 5G networks work without IT and software ? Do you use a mobile phone ? How many million lines of code goes in to it ? The whole problem of Indian IT was due to a simple fact that not enough investment was done to improve IT systems of Indians in India and people worked on wage arbitrage models. With increased digitization the situation has changed and also for local software markets wages are also getting aligned to local realities. Last edited by amitk26 : 12th October 2018 at 15:23. | |
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![]() | #236 | |
Senior - BHPian Join Date: May 2010 Location: Bangalore
Posts: 1,051
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I remember when I was in school and used to follow the fledgling IT industry news through magazines like PC Quest (it used to be an actual computer science and coding magazine back then, not just a computer products brochure), the talk was all about building software for Indian companies and businesses. I think if we had focused on that (like companies like Tally have done), we'd have a deeper and more sustainable IT industry today. Then the whole policy shift towards software services exports and SEZs happened. Not a bad thing in itself, it earned and continues to earn a lot of revenue and boosted the economy and transferred technology (and enabled whole scale land scams in cities ![]() | |
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![]() | #237 | |
Senior - BHPian | ![]() Quote:
I often think about what all programming languages I learnt in my decades of association with PCs. Then I think of what would happen if I were to lose my job today. If I were to go solo, I would have to find work as an IT consultant. If I had studied electrical engineering, my skills would still be relevant. If I had learnt plumbing or carpentry, I know people would still need me for those odd jobs. You are right that smartphones represent a part of IT. But it's highly unlikely that I shall hire my neighbouring mobile developer to fix an issue with my smartphone. | |
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![]() | #238 | |
Team-BHP Support ![]() ![]() | ![]() Quote:
You may wear a leather shoe, but you will never meet the tanner who made the leather from the animal skin. Can we do away with the tanning industry then? | |
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![]() | #239 | |
Senior - BHPian | ![]() Quote:
If the leather shoe needed mending, I would go to my local cobbler first. Both the company and the individual artisan survive. The other is the artisan can make me a leather shoe - not as elegant looking as the company made one, but it can be done. Not the same with IT. I have been an application programmer. If something went wrong with a smart device, I wouldn't know how to fix it. A cobbler, on the other hand, would know how to mend leather shoes, chappals, sandals, canvas shoes - pretty much any footwear. I understand this analogy may be far from perfect. But when I visualize a life away from the costly cities and in some quiet village, I realize I have none of the skills actually essential to living life. What I have are useless to earn me my daily bread. | |
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![]() | #240 | |
Team-BHP Support ![]() ![]() Join Date: Jul 2010 Location: Bangalore
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His point isn't about who can or can't make or mend a leather shoe. It goes up the supply chain to the point of existence of the leather in your premise. No leather, no shoes for you, no cobbler needed, shoe-making/mending skills irrelevant. That you don't personally depend on individual steps of a process doesn't make you entirely independent of the process itself. Applies to everything right from your most basic needs to the other extreme of the scale. Last edited by Chetan_Rao : 13th October 2018 at 11:11. | |
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